Think Freely Media presents Common Sense with Paul Jacob

Trump Card Trumped

Trump, popularity, polls, president, 2016, illustration

According to poll after poll, Donald Trump is winning. He’s a winner.

. . . of a plurality, anyway.

Admittedly, he lost the Iowa caucuses to Sen. Ted Cruz. But he rebounded with a sizeable plurality victory in New Hampshire. Now Trump leads in South Carolina polls.

Among Republican primary voters, that is.

It is a different story in the public and private polls I’ve seen, ones surveying the entire electorate — Republicans, Democrats and independents. Consider the new poll of swing-state Virginia voters by the Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University.

Again, Trump garners a plurality of Old Dominion Republicans, leading next closest contender, Sen. Marco Rubio, 28 to 22 percent. On the other hand, among the entire voting population, a disquieting 64 percent — nearly two out of three voters — view The Donald unfavorably.

Put another way, Trump’s winning in un-favorability.  Only Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton are seen anywhere near as negatively, at 58 and 59 percent, respectively.

Can Trump turn that around? Not likely. Folks already know him. He has the highest name recognition of any candidate — higher than Hillary Clinton.

“Almost all the voters have an opinion about Donald Trump,” explained the Wason Center’s Dr. Quentin Kidd, “and twice as many see him in an unfavorable light as view him favorably.”

Trump starts at a “disadvantage,” according to Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight, because “Most Americans just really don’t like the guy.”

To appoint future Supreme Court justices, one must win the General Election with all the people voting, not merely the GOP nomination.

According to poll after poll, that candidate is not Donald Trump.

This is Common Sense. I’m Paul Jacob.

Printable PDF

Trump, popularity, polls, president, 2016, illustration


By: CS Admin


  1. Gramma says:

    Donald Duck Quack Quack Trump is not fit to be president. He is a narcissist, just like the present WH occupier–and will show his true colors if elected. He is not a conservative, does not have a background of being a follower of Jesus Christ, and in my mind, he is proving to his wife that he can win and she will be the First Lady of the land, not a divorcee!

  2. Pat says:

    In today’s environment a plurality is all that is needed to win an election. Didn’t Bill Clinton win two elections with less than 45% of the popular vote? Comparing Trump to the others in the GOP primary race is pointless. Everyone has their favorite(s) but most will go with the nominee. How about the TEA Party activist who was so turned off by Trump that she is now supporting……Jeb Bush! From bad to worse! Then there are the neocons like Bill Kristol who are threatening to withhold their support if their candidate (Bush) doesn’t win the nomination. I know of two candidates who will never get my vote – Bush and Rubio. The others are not ideal but they are acceptable. The lesser of two evils has been the norm in presidential politics for a few decades.

  3. Brian Wright says:

    Trump will win in a landslide on Election Day… if he is not Breitbarted or Scaliaed. I watched Trump’s key statements from the SC debate, and, frankly, he was masterly: on Iraq, on 9/11, on jobs, on the debt, on special interests, on identifying with the workers, and even on immigration… except of course for ‘the Wall’ (which I thought the Bushies already erected via Cheney and company years ago, so maybe he means simply to complete it or something).
    He connects, he speaks to the common working man, he’s at least more antiwar than any of the other candidates of both parties, he doesn’t seem to think that US foreign policy should be dictated by Tel Aviv and AIPAC (the Zionistas). He came out against executive orders that Obama is using to create a total full-spectrum Orwellian state. The worst I can think of him is he’s perhaps more protectionist than I’d like. But to counter that, he’s the only candidate who’s showing any interest whatsoever in telling the TPP and globalist finance capitalists of the New World Order to shove it.

  4. Paul Jacob says:

    Very interesting comments from different vantage points — from don;t like Trump, to OK w/ him, to he’s “the man.”

    My position? His polling among the full electorate is scary, not good at all, higher negatives than even Hillary Clinton.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

© 2016 Common Sense with Paul Jacob, All Rights Reserved. Back to top